Storm No. 1 at 4:00 a.m. on July 17: Wind near the storm center is level 11-12, gusting to level 15

Báo Tài nguyên Môi trườngBáo Tài nguyên Môi trường17/07/2023


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Forecasters from the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting on duty reporting on the storm at 5:15 a.m. on July 17. Photo: Viet Hung

Specifically, according to the news, at 4:00 a.m. on July 17, the center of the storm was located at about 20.0 degrees North latitude; 113.5 degrees East longitude, about 340km East Southeast of Leizhou Peninsula (China). The strongest wind near the center of the storm was level 11-12 (103-133km/h), gusting to level 15.

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The path of Storm No. 1 at 5:00 a.m. on July 17. Photo: National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting

Storm forecast (in the next 24 to 72 hours):

Forecast time
Direction, speed
Location
Intensity
Danger zone
Disaster Risk Level (Affected Area)
04h/18/7
West Northwest, 15-20 km/h. Storm likely to strengthen
21.0N-109.5E; in the western area of ​​Leizhou peninsula (China), about 190km east-southeast of Mong Cai (Quang Ninh), about 290km east-east of Hai Phong
level 11-12, jerk level 15
North of latitude 17.5N; 107.5E-115.5E
Level 3: North of the North East Sea, North of the Gulf of Tonkin
16h/18/7
West Northwest, 15-20 km/h and weakening
21.5N-107.5E; on the coastal area of ​​Quang Ninh-Hai Phong province
level 9, jerk level 12
North latitude 18.0N; West longitude 112.0E
Level 3: North Gulf of Tonkin, coastal areas of the Northeast

04h/19/7

West Northwest, 15-20 km/h, continuing to weaken into a low pressure area

21.8N-105.5E; on land in the Northeast region

North latitude 18.0N; West longitude 111.5E

Level 3: North Gulf of Tonkin, Northeast region

Forecasting the impact of storms

Strong wind

At sea:
-The northern sea area of ​​the North East Sea has strong winds of level 8-9, the area near the storm center has strong winds of level 11-12, gusting to level 15. The sea is very rough.
- From around the afternoon of July 17, the northern Gulf of Tonkin (including Bach Long Vi and Co To island districts) will have winds gradually increasing to level 6-7, then increasing to level 8-9, near the storm center level 10-11, gusting to level 14. The sea will be very rough.
On land:

- From early morning on July 18, coastal areas from Quang Ninh to Nam Dinh have winds gradually increasing to level 6-7, then increasing to level 8, areas near the storm center have winds of level 9-10, gusting to level 13; areas deep inland in the Northeast have strong winds of level 6-7, gusting to level 9.
Rising water, big waves

Ocean Waves:
- The sea area north of the North East Sea has waves 5.0-7.0m high.
- From the morning of July 18, the sea area of ​​the Northern Gulf of Tonkin has gradually increasing waves, 3.0-5.0m high.
Coastal areas of Quang Ninh - Nam Dinh provinces have waves 2.0-4.0m high.
Storm surge, coastal flooding risk:

- Coastal areas of Quang Ninh-Thai Binh provinces have storm surges of 0.5-0.8m.
- High risk of flooding in low-lying areas in coastal areas, river mouths, and bank erosion
sea ​​due to the combined effects of high tides on the afternoon of July 18.
Heavy rain
From the night of July 17 to July 20, in the Northern region, there will be heavy to very heavy rain with common rainfall of 200-400mm, locally over 500mm; Thanh Hoa and Nghe An regions will have moderate to heavy rain, some places with very heavy rain with common rainfall of 100-200mm, locally over 300mm. Beware of heavy rain causing urban flooding. Heavy rain occurred after many days of thunderstorms and hot weather for the past 10 days combined with rain in the coming days, increasing the risk of flash floods and landslides from July 18 in the Northern region, with high risks in the provinces of Quang Ninh, Lang Son, Cao Bang, Ha Giang, Lao Cai, Yen Bai.
Thunderstorm, tornado
Beware of the risk of thunderstorms, tornadoes and strong gusts of wind in the storm circulation area, both before and during the storm's landfall.


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