According to CNN, from his first term to this year's election campaign, US President-elect Donald Trump has always clearly expressed his tough stance on illegal immigration. "On my first day in the White House, I will launch the largest deportation program in American history. I will rid every city and town of illegal criminals, and drive them out of the country as quickly as possible," Mr. Trump said before the November 5 election. Immediately after winning the election, Mr. Trump appointed people with similar views to key positions in the cabinet. Former Director of the US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Tom Homan is in charge of US border control, South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem is Secretary of Homeland Security. Although there are no details yet, Mr. Trump recently confirmed that he will declare a national emergency and mobilize the military to deport illegal immigrants. According to the Department of Homeland Security, there will be about 11 million illegal immigrants in the US by 2022. Meanwhile, Mr. Trump's team estimates that this number ranges from 10 to 20 million people. Observers say that such a deportation campaign would cost a huge budget, possibly up to 300 billion USD. However, Mr. Trump said in an interview with NBC that he "doesn't care about this amount of money".

US President-elect Donald Trump. Photo: NYT

In addition to the cost, deporting large numbers of immigrants could have unintended consequences for the US economy and labor market. According to Northeastern Global News (NGN), the last large-scale deportation in the US took place from 2008 to 2013, when about 400,000 undocumented immigrants were deported. At the time, economists could predict the impact, but the campaign was too small for what Mr. Trump wanted to do. "Mass deportation of illegal immigrants can open up job opportunities for low-skilled workers. However, there could still be a shortage of workers, because immigrants mainly work in construction or care for the elderly, jobs that Americans rarely seek," economist Shantanu Khanna told NGN. Meanwhile, economics professor Peter Simon warned that mass deportations of immigrants would expose the weaknesses of some industries and affect local economies. "The sudden disappearance of low-paid but essential workers will reveal truths that America does not want to admit. You will not be able to find gardeners, roofers or babysitters. Or on a construction site, an American supervisor will also lose his job when all the immigrant workers leave," said Mr. Simon. In addition to labor shortages in some industries, the disappearance of millions of immigrants will also have a negative impact on the local food and service industries. "There will be fewer people eating in restaurants, paying for daily groceries. Everything will spread very quickly," Mr. Simon added. Professor Simon said that the deportation process will reduce the growth of US GDP, and people will feel this impact clearly in the future.

Vietnamnet.vn

Source: https://vietnamnet.vn/chien-dich-truc-xuat-nguoi-nhap-cu-cua-ong-trump-anh-huong-the-nao-toi-nuoc-my-2343378.html