After the winter break, the Premier League returns with midweek matches, and also to start an extremely busy period for the big clubs when the European competitions are about to start. The news that Klopp will leave Liverpool at the end of the season will certainly have a big impact on this round of matches.
Quick Forecast:
+ Liverpool have every chance of beating Chelsea at Anfield as their title bid continues following the departure of manager Jürgen Klopp.
+ Arsenal, Tottenham and West Ham are all capable of success in this round.
+ The most unpredictable match is between Wolves and Man United, with only a very small advantage for the away team led by Erik ten Hag.
Two teams on opposite sides of the table , Nottingham Forest host Arsenal in the early game of the round. Forest have won their last three home games against Arsenal in impressive fashion: two in the FA Cup and a 1-0 win in the Premier League last season. But they have never won four consecutive home games against the Gunners, so the Opta supercomputer believes that record will stand, with Arsenal winning at 54.5%. Forest's win rate is 19.7%. However, Arsenal have never won two Premier League games against Forest in the same season since 1998-99.
Fulham (41.8%) and Everton (28.8%) have both been in poor form recently in the Premier League. However, Fulham have won four of their last five Premier League home games, while Everton have won three of their four away games in London this season. So this is a game with a fairly high draw rate: 29.4%.
Brighton will be hoping to make it five Premier League games unbeaten when they visit Luton Town . The computer has given Brighton a 42.3% chance of winning, but don't underestimate the Kenilworth Road hosts, as they have a 28.1% chance of drawing this game. Brighton have drawn their last two games 0-0.
The Opta supercomputer rates Crystal Palace highly against bottom side Sheffield United . Despite their woes, Palace have a good head-to-head record, having won their last three Premier League games against Sheffield, who have lost 16 of their previous 19 away games. Sheffield's last away win was against Everton in May 2021. It has been a miserable run for Sheffield, who have scored just seven goals in those 19 games and never scored more than once in a game. Palace therefore have a 51.6% chance of winning, with the visitors at 20.6%.
Tuesday's final game (early Wednesday Vietnam time) will see Aston Villa host Newcastle United . The Unai Emery-led hosts have only won one of their last four Premier League games, but that is still better than Newcastle have managed, with Eddie Howe's side looking to avoid a fifth straight defeat.
Villa have been impressive at home this season, winning nine and drawing one of their 10 games at Villa Park. Those stats seem to favour the home side and Villa have a win rate of 42.5%.
Tottenham are tipped to bounce back from their FA Cup exit to Man City. They play at home to Brentford in the London derby. Tottenham have now scored in their last 33 Premier League games, their longest scoring run in the competition's history, so the computer gives them a 51.6% chance of winning, compared to Brentford's 22.4%.
Manchester City (77.4%) to beat Burnley (6.8%) is the most confident prediction Opta can make in this round. In the last 17 meetings with Burnley, Man City won 16 and drew 1. Furthermore, Man City have lost only 1 of their last 49 home Premier League matches against promoted teams (winning 43 of those).
Liverpool vs Chelsea looks like a game worth watching. Despite Chelsea's recent improvement, the computer gives Liverpool a 54.9% chance of winning, while Chelsea have a 19.5% chance. However, the last seven meetings between Liverpool and Chelsea have ended in draws, making this the longest streak of consecutive draws between two top clubs in English football history.
According to the supercomputer, West Ham (54.9%) will hand Bournemouth (19.8%) their third consecutive defeat. David Moyes's side have won three of their last four league games against Bournemouth, while they have kept clean sheets in their last three home Premier League games.
No one can be sure what to make of Manchester United at the moment, and neither can the computer. A trip to Wolves is highly likely to end in a draw, with a 29.8% chance of a draw. The odds are slightly in favour of United at 39.7%, with Wolves at 30.5%. It’s easy to see why things are so unpredictable. Wolves have taken 10 points from their last four games, but United have a good head-to-head record, winning six of their last seven meetings with Wolves, including three clean sheets. Interestingly, February is usually a particularly good month for United, who are unbeaten in 22 games in the month since 2018.
LONG KHANG
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