Which movie will win the 2025 Oscar?

"Life is completely unpredictable," says Oscar-winning actor Christopher Walken, as he predicts the Academy Awards race.

Emilia Pérez actresses: Adriana Paz, Zoe Saldaña, Selena Gomez and Karla Sofía Gascón (from left)

In a year defined by film industry upheaval, social media scandals and political unrest, Hollywood's biggest awards night is shaping up to be a monumental finale to a season that's been fraught with glamor and... chaos.

Just a few weeks ago, Variety , along with much of the film industry, had six films in the top 10 for best picture. Now, that number has narrowed to three: Anora , The Brutalist , and Conclave .

Topping the nominations list is Netflix’s crime musical Emilia Pérez , which made history with 13 nominations—the most ever for a non-English-language film. But a once-successful marketing campaign has taken a nosedive, thanks to the resurgence of racist, offensive tweets by lead actress Karla Sofía Gascón. The film’s hopes of winning best picture are now all but gone.

Streaming service Netflix has to stick with its best picks: Supporting Actress frontrunner Zoe Saldaña and Best Original Song frontrunner El Mal . Beyond that, Emilia Pérez risks the same fate as The Turning Point (1977) and The Color Purple (1985) as the most nominated film to go home empty-handed at the Oscars.

Anora film director Sean Baker and actress Mikey Madison at the 2024 Cannes Film Festival

The best picture list is certainly a marathon, with a record total length of 24 hours and 45 minutes for the 10 nominees. The longest of the bunch is Brady Corbet’s The Brutalist . Edward Berger’s Vatican drama Conclave has middling appeal to older Academy voters and could pull off an Argo -style upset, winning best picture without a best director nomination.

Meanwhile, Anora has had an erratic trajectory, peaking only in the past few weeks after winning at the Directors Guild of America (DGA) and Producers Guild of America (PGA). Over the past decade, winning one of the pre-Oscar screenplay awards, the DGA and PGA, has been a necessary ingredient to securing a best picture win. Anora has lost at the BAFTAs, Golden Globes, and Critics Choice Awards.

The 97th Academy Awards ceremony took place on the evening of March 2 (US time) with Conan O'Brien as host.

Source: https://thanhnien.vn/phim-nao-se-gianh-tuong-vang-oscar-2025-185250301092435465.htm