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Not long ago, there was Nottingham Forest in the relegation race. But Forest, who have just reappeared at the highest level in England this season, managed to escape with a victory over… Arsenal - the team that led the league for 248 days, before being dethroned by Man.City. That shows how high the quality of the teams competing for relegation is. Before Forest beat Arsenal, Everton won 5-1 at Brighton - the "phenomenon" of this season in England. Yet Everton is still having to… breathe oxygen before the final round.
It is only seven years since Leicester, under Claudio Ranieri, won the Premier League. Leeds won the title in 1992, the season before the Premier League was created. Everton won it in 1987, when they became the third-most successful club in the land of football, behind Liverpool and Manchester United. Nottingham Forest, two-time European champions, won the title in 1978. Since Forest won, only seven other clubs have won the English title (in a span of 45 years).
Everton's best hope of staying in the league
Everton have always been in the Premier League. The last time they were relegated from the top flight was in 1951. With only two relegations in their history (136 years), Everton are the second most familiar face in the English national championship, after Arsenal. But this season, Everton have never moved above mid-table. They have been in the relegation zone for 13 rounds. Coach Frank Lampard was sacked at the end of January, when the team was second to last. In Lampard's place, coach Sean Dyche helped Everton beat Arsenal 1-0 in his first match. Everton are currently 2 points ahead of Leicester and Leeds, but Everton have the lowest goal difference. Everton prepare to play Bournemouth in the final round. Leeds play Tottenham while Leicester play West Ham (all 3 teams fighting to avoid relegation play at home).
If Everton beat Bournemouth, they will stay up. If Everton draw, Leicester will stay up if they beat West Ham. Leeds will only stay up if they beat Tottenham (by three goals or more) and Leicester and Everton both fail to win. If Leeds and Leicester both fail to win, Everton will stay up even if they lose. In short: Everton have the best hope while Leeds are the team with the hardest time. Surely no one has forgotten: Leeds used to be a regular in the top group, and reached the Champions League semi-finals at the turn of the millennium.
People often say that the play-off match for the right to play in the Premier League every year is the "100 million pound match". It is easy to understand: the promoted team will have at least 100 million pounds more in the next season. But, in the opposite direction, the loss of a team that is eliminated from this tournament is much larger than that 100 million. In addition to the specific money from television copyright and ranking position (the last team in the Premier League often has an income higher than 100 million pounds), the loss of the relegated team lies in two aspects: spirit and expertise. The best players will leave. Those who stay will have to pay the club "premier league salaries" even if they are only playing at the second level. Personnel serving professional issues will be cut to the maximum to save costs, which will also affect professional issues.
Researchers estimate that a team that is relegated from the Premier League will lose around 60% of its value. Will Leeds, Leicester or Everton be the teams that "lose 60% of their value" due to relegation after the decisive round of matches this Sunday?
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