On the afternoon of March 21, the General Department of Hydrometeorology (Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment) held a conference to review the work of forecasting and warning of hydrometeorological disasters in 2023 and assess the trend of natural disasters in 2024.
Here, Mr. Hoang Duc Cuong, Deputy Director General, assessed that in 2023, our country's weather and climate will be strongly affected by the El Nino phenomenon and climate change. 2023 was recorded as the year with the highest temperature globally and the second year in the series of monitoring data in Vietnam. The highest temperature ever appeared with a value of 44.2 degrees in the North Central region.
According to Mr. Cuong, since the beginning of 2024, complex and unusual natural disasters have occurred, such as widespread cold spells lasting from February to March, with low temperatures in the Northern Delta below 15 degrees Celsius and in mountainous areas below 13 degrees Celsius; prolonged heat waves in the Southern region, increased salinity intrusion in the Mekong Delta, greatly affecting people's lives and agricultural production.
Reporting at the conference, Mr. Hoang Phuc Lam, Deputy Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, also said that in 2023, the number of storms was the lowest compared to the average of many years; no storms made landfall in our country. This was also the year with up to 20 heat waves, 5 more than the average of many years...
Forecasting this summer, Mr. Lam informed that the heat wave will appear earlier, the number of hot days will be more likely and the severity will be higher than the average of many years. In the Northwest, the heat wave peaks in May-June; while in the Northeast, Thanh Hoa and Thua Thien Hue in June-July; Da Nang - Khanh Hoa peaks in July and in the South in March-April.
Regarding the developments of this year's rainy and stormy season, the leader of the meteorological agency said that the rainy season in the North is forecast to take place according to the law around May-August.
The East Sea is likely to experience 11-13 storms and tropical depressions, approximately the average of many years. Most likely, this pattern will be concentrated in the second half of the season in the Central region.
This forecast is also consistent with the assessment that heavy rain is likely to occur in the last months of the year in the Central region, concentrated from September to November 2024.
Meanwhile, the Central Highlands and the South are likely to start the rainy season late. In June alone, the southwest monsoon tends to be stronger than the average of many years, causing increased rain in these two regions.
In addition, the flood season in 2024 is unlikely to come early on rivers and streams in the North. Water resources may be 30-50% short on the Da River, 40-50% on the Thao River, Lo River, Red River...
Experts also warned that from now until the end of the 2024 drought season, the Mekong Delta will be affected by four periods of increased saltwater intrusion (March 23-28, April 8-14, April 23-28, May 6-12), with the highest intrusion period being April 8-14.
Concluding the conference, Mr. Hoang Duc Cuong emphasized that 2024 will continue to be a year predicted to have many extreme and unusual weather phenomena. Therefore, the entire industry needs to closely monitor, warn and promptly forecast dangerous weather, hydrological and oceanographic phenomena nationwide and provide timely and complete news bulletins.
At the same time, strengthen information, propaganda and dissemination of knowledge about hydrometeorology, especially dangerous hydrometeorological phenomena, contributing to raising public awareness of the importance of natural disaster prevention.
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