Score prediction: Germany cannot beat Denmark in 90 minutes

Báo Tuổi TrẻBáo Tuổi Trẻ29/06/2024


Havertz không có phong độ cao - Ảnh: REUTERS

Havertz is not in good form - Photo: REUTERS

After a strong opening match against Scotland, Germany's form gradually declined in the following matches. Especially in the final match of the group stage against Switzerland, Germany almost had to accept defeat.

It was a match in which coach Nagelsmann made many confusing personnel decisions. He sent the entire starting lineup onto the field even though the home team was sure to advance and only needed 1 point to stay at the top of the table.

As a result, centre-back Jonathan Tah received a yellow card and was suspended for the round of 16. Rudiger also suffered a minor injury… while celebrating his goal.

Rudiger is likely to recover in time for the upcoming match, but Tah is definitely absent, and will be replaced by Schlotterbeck. Some Western journalists also said that reserve center back Anton could replace Rudiger.

Germany's defense cannot be neglected against Denmark, a team that is not afraid of them in their matches. In the last 10 matches, Germany won 4, drew 3 and lost 3.

Bookmakers have Germany handicapped by 1 goal in this match, along with an over/under of 2.5 goals. This handicap is not too high considering the home advantage and Germany's current strength. But in the round of 16, teams that play good counter-attacking defense like Denmark are usually not afraid of any opponent.

Đội hình ra sân dự kiến của hai đội - Đồ họa: AN BÌNH

Expected lineup of the two teams - Graphics: AN BINH

Denmark were one of seven unbeaten teams in the group stage. Despite not winning a single game, the Nordic side held their own against the formidable attacks of England and Serbia. They remained unbeaten in all seven matches in 2024, conceding just four goals in those seven games.

Sportsmole's survey found that 89.5% of fans believe Germany will advance. On the other hand, the football site's computer data rates Germany's chances of winning in 90 minutes at just 41%, while Denmark's is 33.9%. The difference is clearly not that big.

Đan Mạch (áo đỏ) không hề e ngại Đức mỗi khi đối đầu - Ảnh: REUTERS

Denmark (red shirt) is not afraid of Germany every time they face each other - Photo: REUTERS

The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw (11.9%), followed by a 1-0 Germany win (8.9%), a 2-1 Germany win (8.8%) and a 1-0 Denmark win (8%). On the other hand, the odds of a match having three or more goals are only 45%.

Expert's choice: choose Denmark to be given a handicap of 1 goal, the match will have under 3 goals.

Prediction: 1-1 draw in 90 minutes, Germany wins 2-1 overall.

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Source: https://tuoitre.vn/du-doan-ti-so-duc-khong-thang-noi-dan-mach-trong-90-phut-20240628212130156.htm

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