USD outlook is quite pessimistic, likely to fall to 102

Báo Quốc TếBáo Quốc Tế10/03/2025

Foreign exchange rates, USD/VND exchange rate today, March 10, recorded USD decreasing compared to most other currencies due to concerns about slowing growth and the impact of tariffs on the US economy.


Foreign exchange rate update table - USD exchange rate Agribank today

1. Agribank - Updated: March 10, 2025 08:00 - Time of website supply source
Foreign currency Buy Sell
Name Code Cash Transfer
USD USD 25,330 25,350 25,690
EUR EUR 27,090 27,199 28,309
GBP GBP 32,300 32,430 33,430
HKD HKD 3,217 3,230 3,337
CHF CHF 28,403 28,517 29,429
JPY JPY 168.66 169.34 176.80
AUD AUD 15,781 15,844 16,365
SGD SGD 18,817 18,893 19,436
THB THB 738 741 773
CAD CAD 17,519 17,589 18,101
NZD NZD 14,352 14,853
KRW KRW 16.88 18.64

Exchange rate developments in the domestic market

In the domestic market, according to TG&VN at 7:45 a.m. on March 10, the State Bank announced the central exchange rate of the Vietnamese Dong to the USD at 24,738 VND.

The reference USD exchange rate at the State Bank of Vietnam is listed at: 23,544 VND - 25,916 VND.

USD exchange rates at commercial banks are as follows:

Vietcombank: 25,300 - 25,690 VND.

Vietinbank: 25,170 - 25,750 VND.

Reference exchange rate for the US dollar at 24,260 VND/USD on July 1, down 4 VND/USD. (Source: Daily FX)
(Source: Daily FX)

Exchange rate developments in the world market

The US Dollar Index (DXY) measures the greenback's movements against six major currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF) at 103.91.

The DXY index fell more than 3% last week, while the EUR jumped more than 4% last week, knocking the USD down.

The impetus for the EUR's rise comes from the German government's newly proposed plan to increase spending.

Germany's 10-year bond yield jumped from around 2.5% to 2.8% on the news.

Rising bond yields helped the euro break above key resistance at 1.0550 and surge to 1.08. The euro's rise dragged the DXY index below key support at 105. However, the US 10-year Treasury yield rose last week and failed to support the greenback higher.

The dollar fell against most other currencies on concerns about slowing growth and the impact of tariffs on the US economy.

President Donald Trump's 25% tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico took effect on March 4, along with a doubling of tariffs on imports from China to 20%.

The European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on March 6 and the US jobs data released on March 7 had little impact on the market. The ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, while the US added 151,000 jobs to non-farm payrolls and the unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.1%.

The sharp drop below 105.50 has turned the DXY bearish. This has completely negated the previous bullish view on the DXY. Strong resistance now lies in the 105-105.50 zone. Any recovery from here could be limited to 105-105.50.

The outlook is quite bearish, with the DXY index likely to drop to 102, or even 100, in the coming weeks.



Source: https://baoquocte.vn/ty-gia-ngoai-te-ty-gia-usdvnd-hom-nay-103-trien-vong-usd-kha-bi-quan-co-kha-nang-giam-xuong-moc-102-306895.html

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