More than 2 billion people in some 50 countries, accounting for more than 60% of global GDP, will vote in national elections in 2024. It will be the year with the most elections ever.
Hot spots
On November 5, 2024, more than 160 million American voters are expected to go to the polls to elect the country's 60th President. Incumbent President Joe Biden has decided to run for a second consecutive term, while former President Donald Trump is considered a potential candidate to represent the Republican Party.
The public will also be watching the election in Russia after President Vladimir Putin announced his re-election in the presidential election on March 17, 2024 and received support from politicians and voters. India plans to hold general elections in April and May 2024. According to the UK's Chatham House policy institute, this will be the world's largest election next year with more than 900 million voters out of 1.4 billion people in the South Asian country registered to vote. More than 400 million European voters will elect the European Parliament for a five-year term in the election taking place from June 6 to 9, 2024. The election in the 27 member states of the European Union (EU) will decide the composition of the parliament of about 700 seats, which is responsible for supervising European legislation.
Regarding the US presidential election, the Maine Supreme Court ruled to disqualify Mr. Donald Trump from the primary election in this state due to his role in the riot at the Capitol building in January 2021.
The results of elections, especially in major countries, will determine those who have great influence in the world, contributing to changes in the current global order.
AI Election
The Economist notes that voters in countries holding elections may experience their first “AI election.” AI could help reduce the enormous costs of campaigning, while also serving as a boon for lesser-known newcomers and candidates with good policy ideas who struggle to reach voters due to lack of funding.
However, AI has some dangerous flaws. The most worrying is that disinformation can be spread through deepfake products (fake videos that mimic real people's faces and voices) of famous politicians. According to observers, AI-generated content can have a stronger impact on elections than social media. On the US website Axios, Mr. Tom Newhouse, Vice President of AI Convergence Media, wrote: The 2024 US presidential election "will be an AI election", much more disruptive than the so-called "Facebook election" in 2008 and 2012.
Observers have stressed the need for appropriate legal frameworks to reduce the risk of AI directly influencing elections. In the US, legislation was introduced before the US Senate in September 2023 to ban the improper use of AI in political advertising. In the EU, a draft AI Act was agreed by the European Parliament and member states on December 9, including clear obligations to apply in cases where AI systems are “classified as high risk, considering their potentially significant impact on democracy and the rule of law”…
Meanwhile, starting in November 2023, Google will require YouTube and others that display political ads on its services to clearly indicate the use of AI to generate or synthesize images/voices in a location visible to users. Meta, which operates Facebook, is also implementing similar mandatory labeling for political ads that use AI.
MINH CHAU synthesis
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