General Statistics Office: Pork supply will meet consumption

Mr. Dau Ngoc Hung, Head of the Department of Agricultural, Forestry and Fishery Statistics, General Statistics Office, said that the supply of pork will meet consumption in the coming time.

Processing pork products at Vinh Anh Food Technology Joint Stock Company, Thuong Tin District (Hanoi). Illustrative photo: Vu Sinh/VNA

However, the Head of the Department of Agricultural, Forestry and Fishery Statistics recommended that local authorities and specialized agencies need to closely monitor the production situation in the area to have timely policies and measures to regulate supply, focus on herd restoration and disease control, and support farmers to stabilize production in new areas.

According to the General Statistics Office, recently, there was a time when pork prices fluctuated, increasing the most in early March, but then leveled off and gradually decreased, by the end of March only increasing in some southern provinces.

From the perspective of livestock statistics, Mr. Dau Ngoc Hung said that there are a number of factors affecting the supply that have affected the fluctuations in pork prices in the past time, such as: the implementation of the provisions of the Law on Livestock: provinces and cities, especially the southern provinces, have relocated large farms and contract farms out of areas where livestock farming is not allowed before January 1, 2025, leading to many farms temporarily ceasing operations, or not raising at full capacity, which may lead to a local shortage of supply. The need to relocate barns also increases costs.

Next, in the last months of 2024, foot-and-mouth disease and African swine fever occurred in pig herds in some southern provinces; in particular, sow herds caused a loss of part of the total herd and caused concern for farmers. Some farmers, especially in the small and medium-sized livestock sector, had difficulty accessing credit and the supply of breeding stock, along with concerns about the epidemic, so they slowly restored their herds, even leaving their barns empty.

According to the Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Statistics, for example: Dong Nai (accounting for 10% of the country's pig output), but the output of live pigs for slaughter in the first quarter of 2025 increased by only 0.2% over the same period, while in the first quarter of 2024 it increased by 7% (if calculated by the number of pigs, March 2025 decreased by 109 thousand pigs compared to the same period in 2024); Ho Chi Minh City's output decreased by 2.6% (the number of pigs decreased by 6.5%); Khanh Hoa's output decreased by 5.1%, Long An's output decreased by 4.5%.

In addition, the pig herd decreased in February due to businesses and households raising pigs increasing sales for consumption during Tet and festivals at the beginning of the year. The total pig herd (excluding suckling pigs) at the end of February 2025 is estimated at 26.8 million, down nearly 360,000 compared to the end of January.

“In addition, it could also be due to hoarding and speculation. When pig prices tend to increase, pig farmers, especially large enterprises with closed production chains, extend the breeding period to increase the volume of sales and wait for prices to increase further, which also leads to a shortage of supply,” Mr. Hung emphasized.

However, nationwide, the output of pigs for slaughter in the first quarter of 2025 still increased by 5% over the same period; in which, some localities increased quite well: Gia Lai increased by 18%; Binh Dinh increased by 7.6%; Hung Yen increased by 6.9%; Binh Phuoc increased by 5.8%; Thanh Hoa increased by 5.2%. The number of pigs nationwide at the end of March increased by 3.3% over the same period (equivalent to the increase in 2024). The supply problem only occurred locally in some localities at some times.

According to the Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Statistics, the General Statistics Office, in the first quarter of 2025, the growth of the country's agriculture, forestry and fishery sector is estimated at 3.74%, the highest growth rate in the first quarter of the past 4 years (in the first quarter of 2022, it increased by 3.36%; in the first quarter of 2023, it increased by 3.01%; in the first quarter of 2024, it increased by 3.50%). This growth rate is also almost equal to the first quarter of 2025 scenario of region I in the plan for GDP growth for the whole year of 2025 at 8%.

According to the General Statistics Office, in the first quarter of this year, many localities had better agricultural, forestry and fishery production results than the same period in 2024, in which some provinces had quite high growth rates such as: Bac Lieu, the agricultural, forestry and fishery sector in the first quarter is estimated to increase by 8.75%, of which annual crops increased by 12.8% mainly due to the locality transferring part of the 2024 Autumn-Winter rice area to the 2025 Winter-Spring crop (Winter-Spring rice output increased by 13.8%).

In addition, Dak Nong increased by 8.73% thanks to a strong increase in livestock by 18.1%; the output of some perennial crops such as mango, rubber, and pepper was quite good. Hai Duong increased by 7.87%; in which, the output of annual crops increased quite well, especially onions, cabbage, carrots, corn...

Quang Ninh increased by 7.9%; in which, the forestry sector increased sharply because after the storm, many forest areas continued to be exploited and cleared for forest reconstruction. Lang Son increased by 7.23% thanks to pork and poultry output increasing by 11-12%; exploited wood output increased by 22.5%.

Yen Bai increased by 6.98%, of which the output of live pigs for slaughter increased by 8.9% over the same period; poultry meat increased by 7.7% thanks to the conversion of traditional farming to semi-professional farming, shortening the farming time...

However, there are also some provinces with low agricultural production in the first quarter of 2025, such as: Bac Ninh increased by only 0.26% (perennial crops decreased sharply due to the impact of storm No. 3); Ha Nam increased by 0.42% (some winter crops decreased in area); Bac Giang increased by 1.05%; Vinh Phuc increased by 1.18%. These provinces generally have small agricultural, forestry and fishery production scales.

Synthesizing the agricultural, forestry and fishery production situation in the first quarter of 2025 of localities, all 63/63 provinces and cities had increased results compared to the same period; in which, more than 60% of provinces and cities achieved higher growth than the growth rate in the first quarter of 2024. Thereby, it shows a picture with many bright spots in agricultural, forestry and fishery production in localities in the first quarter of this year...

According to Thuy Hien (Vietnam News Agency)

https://baotintuc.vn/lanh-te/cuc-thong-ke-nguon-cung-thit-lon-se-dap-ung-tieu-dung-20250407220109372.htm

Source: http://vinhphuctv.vn/Qu%E1%BA%A3n-tr%E1%BB%8B/Tin-t%E1%BB%A9c-chung/ID/366333/Cuc-Thong-ke-Nguon-cung-thit-lon-se-ap-ung-tieu-dung