Forecast of increasing benchmark scores is the general trend
In the 2024 admission season, the admission method based on the 2024 high school graduation exam scores continues to dominate, both in terms of the number of candidates using it and the quotas of schools. Based on the exam score distribution, many admission experts predict that the admission scores of universities using this method will increase in many combinations and the increase will be about 0.25 to 3 points.
“The benchmark scores for many majors at the National Economics University may increase by 0.25 to 0.75 points compared to last year; in which the top majors will increase slightly, about 0.25 points; the middle majors will increase more strongly, from 0.5 to 0.75 points.” This is the opinion of Dr. Le Anh Duc, Deputy Head of the Department of Training Management at the National Economics University.
According to Dr. Le Anh Duc, this year the school will enroll about 7,000 students, the percentage of admission quotas based entirely on graduation exam scores is 18%, down 7% compared to 2023. Through score distribution analysis, the average score of 6/9 graduation exam subjects increased from 0.06 to 1.04; including subjects in the school's main admission groups such as math, literature, English, physics; therefore, the admission score will increase according to the general trend.
With 6 new majors of the school including: Software Engineering, Data Science, Artificial Intelligence, Information Security, Information Systems, Dr. Le Anh Duc commented that the benchmark score could be above 26 because they are all majors of interest, suitable for market trends.
Master Nguyen Quang Trung, Deputy Head of Training Management Department, University of Commerce said: in recent years, the school's average standard score is 26, some hot majors such as Marketing, Logistics and Supply Chain Management are from 27 and above.
“This year, the percentage of the school's quota for the graduation exam score method has decreased from 50% to 40%, while the candidates' exam scores have increased, so the 2024 benchmark score may increase slightly, about 0.25 in hot majors, while the rest will remain stable. As for the 8 programs following the International Professional Orientation Program (IPOP), because they are newly recruited and not widely known, the benchmark score will be lower - at 24 points,” predicted Master Nguyen Quang Trung.
At the Banking Academy , Head of Training Department Tran Manh Ha commented: with the graduation exam score range this year, the standard scores of the academy and top schools will generally remain the same or increase slightly compared to last year.
Regarding Hanoi Open University, Director of the Center for Communication and Admissions Do Ngoc Anh predicted that the admission threshold to the school will increase, but it is unlikely to increase dramatically. In the engineering, technology, and science groups such as Hanoi University of Science and Technology, University of Natural Sciences (Vietnam National University, Hanoi) or some majors of Hanoi Medical University, the benchmark score is also forecast to increase by 0.5 - 1 point compared to 2023.
Candidates should not worry too much.
After hearing the forecast of admission scores for schools in 2024 with the statement "all trending up", many candidates expressed impatience and anxiety.
“The floor score announced by the National Economics University is 22. With 27.5 points in the D01 combination, I registered for admission to the first choice of International Business. My exam score this year is the same as the benchmark score last year. At first, I was quite confident, but when I heard the teachers predict that the benchmark score might increase slightly, I was a bit worried. However, for the wishes listed below, I also registered for schools with benchmark scores in 2023 that are about 2-3 points lower than my exam score,” Nguyen Ngoc Anh, residing in Hanoi, shared.
In contrast to Ngoc Anh, candidate Ngo Anh Son, residing in Bac Ninh province, said that the increase in benchmark scores, especially in the C00 group, was not difficult to predict. “As soon as the Ministry of Education and Training announced the graduation exam scores; and analyzed the score distribution of each subject and group, it was immediately clear that the C00 group had very high scores. Therefore, the benchmark scores of top schools in this group such as Pedagogy, Journalism, Culture, Literature... will likely increase,” Ngo Anh Son predicted.
Also because he carefully studied the 2024 exam score range and the benchmark scores for 2021, 2022, and 2023, with a score of 25.5 in group C00, although he really liked the Faculty of Journalism and Communication of the University of Social Sciences and Humanities, Ngo Anh Son only dared to register for this major at Thang Long University. According to Son, his score is likely to be able to pass the entrance exam to Thang Long University with the exact registration wishes.
There are only a few hours left until the deadline for registering for university and college admissions in 2024 on the system; in response to the anxiety of some candidates about the predicted increase in the 2024 admission scores, experts say that candidates should not be too impatient and change their preferences emotionally. The teachers' assessment of admission scores is only a forecast and a channel for candidates to refer to, while the exact admission scores will only be known for sure when they are announced.
In addition to the predicted benchmark score, important factors when candidates register and arrange their admission wishes are their interests, abilities, suitability, actual test scores, family economic conditions... with the industry and school they apply for.
Candidates should carefully study the admission plan and the admission scores of the schools, and arrange their admission wishes into 3 groups: the dream group (ranked at the top); the within-ability group (ranked in the middle, including early admission wishes); and the safe group (ranked at the bottom) to have the highest chance of being admitted and minimize risks.
According to the plan, from July 31 to 5:00 p.m. on August 6, candidates will pay admission fees online; by 5:00 p.m. on August 19 at the latest, universities nationwide will announce the benchmark scores and announce the results of the first round of admission.
Source: https://kinhtedothi.vn/diem-chuan-dai-hoc-2024-du-bao-tang-thi-sinh-khong-nen-qua-lo-lang.html
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