Economic news review January 10

Thời báo Ngân hàngThời báo Ngân hàng11/01/2024


The central exchange rate decreased by 3 VND, the VN-Index increased by 2.95 points or the scale of public debt by the end of 2023 was about 37% of GDP, much lower than the ceiling of 60% set by the National Assembly... are some notable economic information on January 10.

Review of economic information for the week of January 2-5 Review of economic information for January 9
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Economic news review

Domestic news

In the foreign exchange market on January 10, the State Bank listed the central exchange rate at 23,928 VND/USD, down 3 VND compared to the previous session.

The USD buying price was kept unchanged at 23,400 VND/USD by the State Bank of Vietnam, while the USD selling price was listed at 25,074 VND/USD, 50 VND lower than the ceiling exchange rate.

On the interbank market, the dollar-dong exchange rate closed at 24,415 VND/USD, up 52 VND compared to the session on January 9.

The dollar-dong exchange rate on the free market increased by 20 VND in both buying and selling directions, trading at 24,750 VND/USD and 24,850 VND/USD.

On the interbank money market on January 10, the average interbank VND interest rate remained unchanged in most terms, except for an increase of 0.07 percentage points in the 1-month term compared to the previous session, specifically: overnight 0.20%; 1 week 0.30%; 2 weeks 0.53% and 1 month 1.22%.

The average interbank USD interest rate increased by 0.01 - 0.05 percentage points at all terms, trading at: overnight 5.08%; 1 week 5.23%; 2 weeks 5.30%, 1 month 5.39%.

Government bond yields in the secondary market decreased across all maturities, closing at: 3-year 1.52%; 5-year 1.52%; 7-year 1.81%; 10-year 2.20%; 15-year 2.39%.

Yesterday, in the open market operations, on the mortgage channel, the State Bank offered VND1,000 billion for a 7-day term, with the interest rate remaining at 4.0%. There was no winning bid volume, with VND1.04 billion circulating on this channel. The State Bank did not offer SBV bills and there was no volume of bills circulating on the market.

On the bond market on January 10, the State Treasury successfully mobilized 5,939/7,250 billion VND of government bonds called for bid, with a winning rate of 82%. Of which, the 5-year and 10-year terms mobilized the entire 750 billion VND and 3,000 billion VND of the call, respectively; the 15-year term mobilized 2,189 billion VND/3,000 billion VND of the call. The 30-year term called for bid of 500 billion VND but the bid failed. The issuance interest rate for the 5-year term was 1.50% (-0.08 percentage points compared to the previous session), the 10-year term was 2.15% (-0.05 percentage points) and the 15-year term was 2.35% (-0.05 percentage points).

The stock market had a mixed session yesterday, VN-Index maintained its green color thanks to the group of banking stocks. At the end of the trading session, VN-Index increased by 2.95 points (+0.25%) to 1,161.54 points; HNX-Index lost 1.09 points (-0.47%) to 231.41 points; UPCoM-Index decreased by 0.57 points (-0.65%) to 87.15 points. Market liquidity increased compared to the previous session with a trading value of over VND23,000 billion. Foreign investors net sold nearly VND325 billion on all three exchanges.

According to the Ministry of Finance, the scale of public debt by the end of 2023 is about 37% of GDP, much lower than the ceiling of 60% set by the National Assembly. Government debt is about 34% of GDP, lower than the ceiling of 50%. This outstanding debt level is also much lower than the average level in 2023 of BB-rated countries at 52.8% and BBB at 54.9% of GDP.

Domestic debt increased, accounting for about 71% of government debt, mainly government bonds. The average issuance term of government bonds is about 12.4-12.5 years, ensuring the target of 9-11 years according to Resolution No. 23/2021/QH15 of the National Assembly on the National Financial Plan and Public Debt Repayment for the 2021-2025 period. The average issuance interest rate of the entire government bond portfolio in 2023 is about 3.3%/year, down 0.18 percentage points compared to the level in 2022.

International News

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) said the headline CPI in the country increased by 4.3% year-on-year in November, slowing from 4.9% in the previous month and lower than the forecast of 4.4%. This is the lowest increase of the Australian CPI in nearly 2 years, since April 2021.

The Japanese government announced that the average income in the country increased by only 0.2% compared to the same period in November, slowing down significantly compared to the expectation of maintaining at 1.5% as in October's statistics.

Even so, basic wages rose 1.2 percent year-on-year in November, only slightly decelerating from 1.3 percent in the previous month. Compared to Japan’s inflation rate of over 2 percent, real incomes fell for the 20th straight month, weighing on household spending.



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