East Sea likely to welcome storm next week

The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that currently, the area off the coast of the Philippines has conditions that could form a tropical cyclone.

It is forecasted that in the last week of September, the East Sea will have storm/tropical depression activity.

Speaking with VietNamNet reporters , the leader of the Forecast Center said that according to current analysis and forecast data (September 22), around September 24-25, the area in the middle of the East Sea is highly likely to form a low pressure area causing bad weather.

The East Sea is likely to see a storm/tropical depression in the last week of September. Illustration photo: Le Duong

"Around September 25-26, the low pressure area is forecast to strengthen into a tropical depression/storm. The probability of this formation is 60-70%," the leader said.

Therefore, from the afternoon of September 24, in the East Sea area (including Hoang Sa and Truong Sa island districts), there is a possibility of strong winds of level 6 and rough seas.

"The hydrometeorological agency will closely monitor and update information in the coming days," the center's leader emphasized.

Recently, Dr. Nguyen Ngoc Huy (Huy Nguyen), an expert on climate change and natural disaster warning, also said that currently in the East Central Philippines, there is an unusually developing cloud cluster. The storm cloud cluster moves in two directions, creating a slight vortex in place, while moving from the Southeast to the Northwest, and the air pressure in this area is lower than the surrounding area.

This trend combined with the very high sea surface temperature in the East of the Philippines and the East Sea of Vietnam (30-31 degrees Celsius) will create conditions for the formation of tropical depressions, and the possibility of storm formation cannot be ruled out. The weather in the East Sea of Vietnam will therefore be subject to many fluctuations from September 25 to the end of September, and the first week of October.

"Since this is an early assessment, it is not yet confirmed whether a storm will form or not. It is necessary to monitor the forecast of bad weather conditions along the coast and inshore of Vietnam during the period from September 25 to October 7," said Dr. Huy.

Previously, the Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting also assessed that during the period from September 21 to October 20, the tropical convergence zone will continue to operate and there is a possibility of 1-2 storms or tropical depressions appearing in the East Sea, which may affect the North and North Central regions.

Further assessment, from now until the end of 2023, there is a possibility of about 3-5 storms/tropical depressions appearing in the East Sea, of which about 1-2 storms can directly affect our mainland.

This year, due to the influence of El Nino conditions, the number of storms/tropical depressions operating in the East Sea and affecting our mainland is less than the average of many years. However, the storms operating in the East Sea all have very complex and unpredictable trajectories and intensities.

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