ChatGPT predicts the winner of the US presidential election

Báo Tuổi TrẻBáo Tuổi Trẻ12/10/2024

Newsweek magazine asked ChatGPT to predict whether Mr. Trump or Ms. Harris will become the owner of the White House in the upcoming US presidential election on November 5.
ChatGPT dự đoán người chiến thắng cuộc bầu cử tổng thống Mỹ - Ảnh 1.

Former US President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris - Photo: ABC NEWS

Question by   Newsweek magazine asked ChatGPT: "Can you tell me who you think will win the 2024 presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump?" ChatGPT was also asked to give reasons for their answer and analyze the strengths and weaknesses of each candidate in the US presidential election. "It's going to be a very competitive race, but it's hard to predict with certainty," ChatGPT responded. The AI ​​tool then outlined the strengths and weaknesses of the two candidates.

Kamala Harris - Democratic candidate

According to ChatGPT, Kamala Harris has the advantage of diverse appeal, leadership experience, a focus on progressive issues and campaigning skills. "As the first female vice president of color and South Asian descent," ChatGPT said, Harris could energize voter groups such as African Americans, women and young voters. However, ChatGPT also said that Harris' main weaknesses lie in "perceptions of ineffectiveness," along with a "divisive image" and "historical hurdles" if she becomes president. "While she may enjoy strong support from specific demographic groups, Harris has yet to demonstrate broad appeal across the entire Democratic base, especially among moderate and older voters who may be wary of her progressive leanings," according to ChatGPT.

Mr. Donald Trump - Republican candidate

ChatGPT assessed Mr. Trump's strengths as "a solid platform," "a populist message," "campaign savvy" and "economic performance." "Mr. Trump is a media powerhouse. His ability to dominate news cycles and keep his supporters engaged, whether through rallies or social media, gives him a significant advantage in shaping the political narrative," ChatGPT said. His weaknesses, according to ChatGPT, are "polarization" among the American electorate, "legal troubles" and "demographics." "Some voters, including Republicans, may feel exhausted by Mr. Trump's chaotic governing style and constant media drama. This fatigue could create an opportunity for Ms. Harris to present herself as a calmer, more stable option," the AI ​​chatbot said.

Who won the battleground states?

Newsweek went on to ask, "Who would win each battleground state between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump?" and asked for reasons for their answers, using polling site FiveThirtyEight and other sources. The answers showed Trump winning Arizona and North Carolina. ChatGPT said Arizona remains competitive, but Trump has a slight advantage there. The state is becoming increasingly unpredictable as the suburban population grows. North Carolina has been a "Republican stronghold in recent years," but urban growth and younger voter turnout could change the picture. ChatGPT predicted Harris would win Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Michigan and Wisconsin tend to lean slightly Democratic, but Trump is still competitive. Economic issues are particularly important in these states. In Nevada, the Latino vote could be decisive. Harris has a slight advantage in Pennsylvania, but the difference between suburban and rural voters, as well as turnout in cities like Philadelphia, will be key. The outcome is less clear in Georgia. "Georgia, which turned blue in 2020, is once again a competitive place. Polls here show a very tight race with no clear advantage for either candidate. High turnout and the state's changing demographics, especially among voters of color, will be key," ChatGPT pointed out.
In short , to have a chance of winning, Trump will likely need to win back at least some of the battleground states he lost to the Democrats in 2020, primarily Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, Arizona or Wisconsin, while also holding onto states like Florida and North Carolina, according to Newsweek. Meanwhile, Harris will need to defend the Democratic “blue wall” in the Midwest while also holding onto states that flipped like Georgia and Arizona. If she can win Florida or North Carolina, her chances of winning will increase significantly.

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Source: https://tuoitre.vn/chatgpt-du-doan-nguoi-chien-thang-cuoc-bau-cu-tong-thong-my-2024101214522534.htm

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