In the first 3 months of 2024, cold air is likely to be weaker than the average of many years.

That is the information just released by the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting in the national hydro-meteorological forecast and warning bulletin for the season (from January to June 2024).

Accordingly, from January to March 2024, the number of days with light rain and drizzle in the Northern region during the Winter-Spring season of 2023-2024 is likely to be higher than the average of many years.

*In the first 3 months of 2024, cold air is likely to be weaker than the average of many years.*

Regarding the ENSO phenomenon, the current state of the atmosphere and ocean is under El Nino conditions. In the first three months of 2024, El Nino will continue to persist with a probability of over 90%.

Also during these three months, there is a low chance of storms/tropical cyclones appearing in the East Sea. The Northern and Central regions are likely to experience dangerous weather phenomena such as thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning, hail and strong gusts of wind during the Northeast monsoons that sweep down to our country.

Heat waves are likely to appear early in the Southern region (concentrated in the East), the Northwestern region of the North and the Central region. The number of hot days in these regions is likely to be higher than the average. In the Central Highlands and the South, it is forecasted that there is little chance of unseasonal rain in the first three months of 2024, so drought may last during this period.

The Meteorological Agency warned that the Northeast monsoon is likely to cause strong winds and large waves that could affect activities at sea. In addition, thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning, hail, severe cold, frost, and ice could negatively impact agricultural production and public health in areas across the country.

From January to March 2024, nationwide average temperatures will be about 1-1.5 degrees Celsius higher than the average of many years.

Regarding total rainfall, the Northern region in the first three months of 2024 is likely to have total rainfall higher than the average of many years, with total rainfall in January 2024 commonly 15-30mm, total rainfall in February 2024 commonly 20-50mm, and total rainfall in March 2024 commonly 40-80mm.

In the Central region, in January 2024, the total rainfall will be from 20-50mm, especially in the area from Ha Tinh to Quang Nam, it will be from 70-130mm (5-20mm higher than the average of many years). In February 2024, the total rainfall will be from 15-30mm, especially in the area from Ha Tinh to Quang Nam, it will be from 40-80mm (approximately compared to the average of many years in the same period). In March 2024, the total rainfall will be from 30-70mm (approximately the average of many years), especially in the area from Da Nang to Binh Thuan, the total rainfall will be about 20-40mm (5-15mm lower than the average of many years).

In the Central Highlands and the South, from January to February 2024, there will be little rain, with total rainfall in March 2024 ranging from 15-30mm (5-15mm lower than the average of many years).

In the Mekong River basin, the upstream area, the total rainfall in January 2024 is generally 20-40% higher; in February-March 2024, it is generally approximately the same as the average of many years.

In the mid-stream region, total rainfall in January 2024 is generally 15-30% higher than the average of many years; in February 2024, it is generally close to the average of many years, and in March 2024, it is 20-40% lower.

In the downstream area, total rainfall in January 2024 is approximately the average of many years; February-March 2024 is 30-60% lower than the average of many years in the same period.

Source