"Holding breath" waiting for President-elect Donald Trump to shape relations with China

Báo Quốc TếBáo Quốc Tế07/11/2024

The Republican president-elect promised his supporters a "golden America" ​​and pledged to change the policies that Washington has adopted since 1945...


Kết quả cuộc bầu cử Tổng thống Mỹ năm 2024 tại Mỹ ngã ngũ với việc ứng cử viên Donald Trump của đảng Cộng hòa giành chiến thắng. (Nguồn: South China Morning Post)
The results of the 2024 US presidential election in the US were decided with Republican candidate Donald Trump winning. (Source: South China Morning Post)

Chessboard change

The November 5 victory gives the Republican President-elect the power to reshape many of America's policies since World War II, from global trade, foreign policy to democratic standards, immigration... Including the stance and possible changes towards China.

Speaking to supporters in Florida after winning, Donald Trump affirmed that this will truly be "the golden age of America".

Despite predictions of a tight race that could last for days, the 78-year-old populist won a stunning victory over rival Kamala Harris just before the final polls closed.

Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate, called to congratulate Mr. Trump and hoped he would be “President for all Americans.”

By winning over 300 electoral votes, exceeding the 270 votes needed to win the race to the White House this year, Mr. Trump has erased the notion that America is a "special" country, unaffected by global political trends, especially the anti-incumbency wave.

'Nín thở' chờ Tổng thống đắc cử Donald Trump định hình quan hệ với Trung Quốc
President Donald Trump asserted that this will truly be "the golden age of America". (Source: Telegraph)

The full results of the 34 Senate and 435 House seats are still unknown, but Republicans are certain to win a majority in the Senate with at least 52 seats. If his party also wins the House, President Donald Trump will face fewer obstacles, at least until the next midterm elections in 2026.

On trade, President-elect Donald Trump is known for his high tariff policy, threatening to impose a 60% tax on all imports from China and 10% on other countries. His "America First" policy argues that any country that has a trade surplus with Washington is "cheating".

Mr Trump is also determined to bring manufacturing jobs back to the US, despite the huge economic costs.

In foreign policy, he has tended to be wary of NATO and multilateralism, and has questioned the need for US troops abroad. Domestically, Mr. Trump has opposed immigration, which is a cornerstone of the “American dream” and a key factor in the technology economy that has been admired around the world in recent years.

Donald Trump’s second term as President is truly historic. It is the first time a twice-impeached and convicted criminal has been elected to the most powerful office in the world. It is the first time a Republican has won the popular vote since 2004 and the only president other than Grover Cleveland to return to power after losing re-election.

Global Waves

Before Donald Trump's victory on November 5, the Chinese Foreign Ministry affirmed that Beijing respects the choice of the American people and congratulates Trump on being elected President.

However, Donald Trump's policy towards China is likely to become tougher than before, including returning to the 2020 trade deal, requiring China to buy an additional $200 billion in goods from the US.

On November 6, the yuan fell more than 900 points against the dollar, falling below 7.19, before recovering somewhat. US stocks also surged on expectations of Trump’s tax cuts, while bond prices fell on concerns about a large budget deficit.

According to Mr. Jeffrey Moon, head of consulting firm China Moon Strategies and former US Consul General in Chengdu, China, President-elect Donald Trump will usher in the most unpredictable period in modern US-China relations.

"Mr. Trump will not be bound by the detente that President Xi Jinping and President Joe Biden reached in San Francisco in 2023," Mr. Moon asserted.

Chính sách của ông Donald Trump đối với Trung Quốc có thể sẽ trở nên cứng rắn hơn so với trước đây. (Nguồn: AP)
President-elect Donald Trump's policy toward China is likely to be tougher than before. (Source: AP)

In addition, Mr. Moon also said that China may quickly seek out President Donald Trump's intermediaries, hoping to negotiate secretly to resolve outstanding issues.

However, by the end of Trump’s first term, Beijing had sanctioned more than two dozen senior US officials, a move that could make it harder for China to reach out to these US officials in the future, or even force Beijing to stop or ignore previous sanctions.

Mr. Trump has pledged to impose import tariffs on all goods from China and is likely to maintain or tighten restrictions on technology exports that the Biden administration has implemented.

According to Diao Daming, professor of international relations at Beijing People's University, this approach not only harms the US but also disrupts the international trade system.

In addition, President-elect Donald Trump is also likely to leave a strong mark on US policy toward Taiwan (China) and Hong Kong (China).

As Chinese state media focuses on social conflicts in the United States, the election has become a hot topic on many social media platforms in the country of a billion people.

In Beijing and Hong Kong (China), US diplomatic agencies and chambers of commerce also held meetings to monitor the election results, while US Ambassador Nicholas Burns expressed confidence in the strength of American democracy.

In short, President-elect Donald Trump's victory in this election marks an important turning point in American political history. His "America First" policy not only causes profound changes in international relations but also opens up a challenging future for Washington's traditional allies and competitors.

With his promises on trade, technology, and confrontation with powers like China, a second Trump term promises to be a period of uncertainty and opportunity. But Trump’s legacy will be shaped not only by his foreign and domestic policies, but also by how he confronts the crises and polarizations in American society.

As time goes on, we will see more clearly the profound impact that the victory of November 5th brought not only to America, but to the world.



Source: https://baoquocte.vn/nin-tho-cho-tong-thong-dac-cu-donald-trump-dinh-hinh-quan-he-voi-trung-quoc-292851.html

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