Just half a month ago, England was considered to have secured one of the two tickets that UEFA had granted to the two top national championships, in the Champions League next season. That was when England with 5 powerful representatives entered the quarter-finals of 3 European cups. The direct competitor was Germany at that time with only 3 teams. Now, all 3 Bundesliga representatives have advanced to the semi-finals of the Champions League and Europa League, while 4/5 English teams have been eliminated. Only Aston Villa in the Conference Cup, even if this team wins the championship, England will still find it difficult to surpass Germany in the UEFA national championship rankings this season.
Champions League champion Man.City stops at the quarter-finals
It should also be noted that the group stage of the Champions League next season will have 36 teams (instead of 32 as it is now). The team that finishes 5th in the two national championships with the best representatives in the 3 European Cups this season will be granted an additional place in the Champions League next season by UEFA. Currently, the first place is guaranteed for Italy's Serie A, with 19,428 points (Serie A cannot drop to 3rd place in the rankings, regardless of the remaining results in the 3 European Cups this season). The next two positions in the rankings are Germany (17,928 points) and England (17,375 points). These are also the two most fiercely competitive leagues before the quarter-finals of the 3 European Cups. France is 4th with 16,083 points. From 5th place (Spain with 15,312 points) down, no league will be able to reach the top 2. In short: Germany's Bundesliga is full of hope to finish the season in the top 2 (along with Serie A), while the Premier League and France's Ligue 1 have only a faint hope.
Arsenal (blue shirt) failed
UEFA ranking principles: each win in the 3 cup competitions brings 2 points, a draw 1 point, regardless of the tournament. Reaching the final is awarded 1 point (here we do not mention the bonus points from the previous rounds). Take the total points of the whole season and divide them by the total number of representatives participating in the 3 cups at the beginning of the season, then the points of each tournament - exactly the points mentioned above. Thus, even if Villa won all the semi-finals and finals of the Conference Cup, the maximum points of the Premier League at the end of the season would only be 18,250 (Villa would bring 7 points in that case, but it would have to be divided by 8 because England has 8 teams participating in the 3 cups this season); The maximum points of Ligue 1 (PSG in the Champions League and Marseille in the Europa League) are 18,416; The maximum points of Bundesliga (Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League and Leverkusen in the Europa League) are 20,642. In the immediate future, the 3 German representatives only need to win 2 out of their 6 matches in the semi-finals (or win 1, draw 2) for the Bundesliga to have an additional 0.571 points, plus the current score (17,928) to definitely rank above the English and French leagues.
There are two noteworthy details in UEFA's ranking. First, the points of each national championship only increase, not decrease, after each round of matches. Second, the points usually do not fluctuate much because in reality, the teams in the knockout stage only need to get into the next round, not accumulate points. A team that is completely inferior in class and loses heavily in the first leg can still win easily or draw in the second leg because the opponent did not give their all in a situation where they were certain to advance. That is why UEFA's rankings are difficult to change. English football can only blame itself, when Liverpool or Man.City both "lost" to opponents who were rated lower than them in the last round (to some extent, Arsenal did too, even though the opponent was Bayern Munich). In the past 20 years, England has only been absent from the semi-finals of the Champions League and Europa League once (2014-2015 season).
British media believes that English football's failure in the European Cup is partly due to finances. In the past 10 years, there have been 13 English clubs with the highest net transfer spending in the world's top 20. However, UEFA recently issued a regulation that a club cannot have a cumulative loss of more than 105 million pounds in 3 consecutive seasons. Therefore, big clubs such as Newcastle, Man.City, Chelsea... cannot spend money like before.
BBC football expert John Murray asserted: "Financial regulations have forced English clubs to tighten their belts this season. Perhaps because of that, the teams are no longer as strong as before."
Lingnan
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