Ms. Harris, Mr. Trump are evenly matched before the G hour of the US election.
Báo Lao Động•05/11/2024
Pre-election polls show Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump tied in the race for the White House.
Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump are neck and neck in the US election polls. Photo: Xinhua The final round of major national polls and surveys in battleground states show the race between Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump is closer than ever. Yahoo News/YouGov Poll Trump and Harris are now tied nationally, according to the final Yahoo News/YouGov poll. The three previous Yahoo News/YouGov polls showed Harris leading Trump slightly among registered voters, ranging from 1 point after the Democratic National Convention in August to 5 points after the Sept. 10 debate. Harris (47%) and Trump (47%) are now tied for the first time since Harris announced her candidacy on July 21. Shocking Iowa Poll The Des Moines Register poll from Oct. 28 to 31 and released over the weekend showed Harris (47%) leading Trump (44%) among likely voters in Iowa, a state that Democrats do not consider a swing state. In June, the same poll showed Trump with an 18-point lead over President Joe Biden. In September, the poll showed Trump with a 4-point advantage over Harris. "It's hard for anyone to say they saw this coming," said J. Ann Selzer, the pollster who conducted the survey. "It's clear Harris has jumped to the top." Trump dismissed the poll in a post on Truth Social, calling Selzer — who correctly predicted his Iowa victory in 2016 and 2020 — a "Trump hater." Kamala Harris campaigning. Photo: XinhuaNational Polls Three websites that aggregate national and state polls — Silver Bulletin, FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times — currently have the following national polling averages: Silver Bulletin : Harris 48.5% - Trump 47.8% FiveThirtyEight : Harris 47.9% - Trump 47.0% New York Times : Harris 49% - Trump 48% All three show Harris with a slight lead in the popular vote of 1 percentage point or less — within the aggregated margin of error. Battleground State Polls The same sites have polling averages in the seven battleground states as follows: Silver Bulletin Nevada: Trump 48.4% - Harris 48.0% Arizona: Trump 49.3% - Harris 46.7% Wisconsin: Harris 48.6% - Trump 47.8% Michigan: Harris 48.3% - Trump 47.2% Pennsylvania: Trump 48.4% - Harris 48.0% North Carolina: Trump 48.7% - Harris 47.6% Georgia: Trump 48.9% - Harris 47.6% FiveThirtyEight Nevada: Trump 47.9% - Harris 47.3% Arizona: Trump 49.0% - Harris 46.5% Wisconsin: Harris 48.2% - Trump 47.3% Michigan: Harris 47.9% - Trump 47.1% Pennsylvania: Trump 47.9% - Harris 47.7% North Carolina: Trump 48.4% - Harris 47.2% Georgia: Trump 48.4% - Harris 47.2% New York Times Nevada: Trump 49% - Harris 48% Arizona: Trump 50% - Harris 47% Wisconsin: Harris 49% - Trump 48% Michigan: Harris 49% - Trump 48% Pennsylvania: Trump 49% - Harris 48% North Carolina: Trump 48% - Harris 48% Georgia: Trump 49% - Harris 48% The polls show this is one of the closest presidential elections in American political history, said Nate Cohn, the New York Times' polling director. "There has never been a race in modern polling where the final polls have shown it to be so close." Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania - known as the Democratic Party's Blue Wall - are crucial to Ms. Harris. In 2016, Mr. Trump won all three of these traditionally Democratic-leaning states, helping him become the US president. However, in 2020, Mr. Joe Biden won back all three of these battleground states.
Báo Lao Động•05/11/2024
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