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China officially falls into deflation

Báo Quốc TếBáo Quốc Tế09/08/2023

On August 9, the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) released a report showing that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) - a key measure of inflation - decreased by 0.3% in July compared to the same period last year.
Trung Quốc chính thức rơi vào giảm phát
China's CPI falls for first time in more than two years. (Source: Reuters)

Thus, China has officially fallen into deflation as its CPI fell for the first time in more than two years.

Also according to the NBS, China's Producer Price Index (PPI) fell 4.4% in July, marking the 10th consecutive month of decline. Falling producer prices often mean a decline in corporate profit margins.

It was the second disappointing data release for the world's second-largest economy this week.

Earlier, on August 8, official statistics showed that the country's exports fell at the highest level in more than three years.

The Northeast Asian nation's economy experienced a brief period of deflation in late 2020 and early 2021 due to a plunge in the price of pork - the country's most consumed meat.

Many analysts fear that deflation will last longer this time - with the country's main growth engines stalling and youth unemployment at a record high above 20%.

Economist Andrew Batson of market research firm Gavekal Dragonomics said the ongoing instability in the real estate sector is the main source of the deflationary shock. This sector accounts for 25% of China's gross domestic product (GDP).

In addition, weak exports are also contributing to China's deflation as this is the main source of growth for the world's second largest economy.

At the same time, deflation would pose a threat to the broader economy as consumers would then tend to delay purchases.

However, the decline in consumer demand has forced companies to cut production, stop hiring or lay off workers, and offer discounts to clear inventory. These issues all affect business profits.



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