British expert predicts Son will score against Liverpool

Sky Sports journalist Lewis Jones believes Son Heung-min will keep his scoring streak going when Tottenham host Liverpool in round seven of the Premier League.

Tottenham - Liverpool: 11:30 p.m. Saturday, September 30 ( Hanoi time) . If there is one team I would be willing to pay to watch right now, it is Tottenham. This will be a battle between two teams with strong attacks. You can see that from the bookmaker's odds. The 1-22 bet on a 0-0 draw between the two "Big Six" teams looks easy, but is very difficult. Meanwhile, the prospect of the match having more than three goals scored is highly appreciated, with a 5-4 bet.

Son has been used as a centre-forward by coach Ange Postecoglou this season. Photo: Liverpool FC

The man to watch this game is Son Heung-min. You can count on the South Korean striker having the skills to beat Liverpool's offside trap, especially given he's been given a central role in Tottenham's current setup. Son has scored five goals in his last three starts. His expected goals (xG) has been 5.81 in his last 11 games against Liverpool, with five goals.

Of course, the odds on Son scoring are not high, with a 4:6 bet. But punters can also bet on the Korean striker being offside at least once in the match, with a 2:7 bet. Son has been caught offside 11 times in 11 starts against Jurgen Klopp's Liverpool.

Like Tottenham's draw with Arsenal last week, I predict this match will have many goals scored, especially when both teams' attacks are in good form while their defenses are unstable. I predict the score will be 2-2.

Bournemouth vs Arsenal: 9pm Saturday, September 30. Arsenal's last 12 games against opponents in the bottom half of the table have averaged 1.9 goals. Excluding the 2-2 draw with West Ham, who had to save their energy for the European Cup final, that figure drops to 1.7. Many believe Arsenal will score more goals against Bournemouth, which has reduced the odds on the match having over three goals, while the under 2.5 goal option is very attractive at 4 to 6.

When he was in charge of Rayo Vallecano, Andoni Iraola enjoyed good results against Spain's top three sides. In 13 La Liga games against Barca, Real and Atletico, Iraola's Vallecano never lost by more than one goal. These games saw a low average of just 2.2 goals per game.

In addition, 12 of those 13 games have seen under 3.5 goals - an impressive feat considering Iraola's limited resources against big teams. Iraola has shown he can shut down strong attacks, as he did in the opening 45 minutes against Brighton last weekend, when the Seagulls were left confused by Bournemouth's defensive inability despite being the top scorer after six games.

Bournemouth’s performance last weekend made me reconsider and believe that Iraola is slowly implementing his ideas at his new club, despite their slow start and their failure to win a single game. If the numbers speak for themselves, I think Bournemouth have the basis to cause Arsenal trouble. Therefore, the odds of 12/1 for them to win and under 2.5 goals are worth the investment.

Man Utd - Crystal Palace: 9pm Saturday, September 30. In the middle of last week, Man Utd beat Palace 3-0 in the League Cup. Midfielder Casemiro scored his 11th goal for the Old Trafford team since the beginning of last season. The presence of Sofyan Amrabat in midfield will help Casemiro have more opportunities to participate in Man Utd's attacking system, including both live and dead ball coordination.

Man Utd are likely to shoot a lot and score a lot of goals in this match. Therefore, the 10/11 bet on Casemiro to shoot at least twice in the match is noteworthy. The former Real Madrid midfielder has averaged 1.96 shots per game in his last 30 appearances for Man Utd. Of which, Casemiro has shot at least twice in seven of his last 12 matches.

Casemiro scored against Palace in midweek. Photo: Reuters

One problem Man Utd face is the left-back position is affected by injury. After Luke Shaw, new signing Sergio Reguilon is out. With what he showed in the middle of the week, it is very likely that Amrabat will be arranged to play this position, instead of the option of pulling Diogo Dalot from the right wing. The Moroccan international showed enthusiasm and excellent ability to cover the back line. His versatility could be the key factor for Man Utd to cope with the injury crisis. I think the difficulty is over for the "Red Devils" and they will win this match 2-0.

Newcastle v Burnley: 9pm Saturday, 30/9 . Burnley are going through a challenging schedule. This is the fifth match in the first six games of the season when they have faced last season's top eight. And the timing of their clash with Newcastle couldn't be worse, with the Tyneside side on fire after wins over Sheffield United and Man City. Vincent Kompany will help Burnley improve their position, but picking up points in this match seems like a tall order.

Set pieces can be a great way for Newcastle to get into Burnley's goal. The Magpies led the way in both goals and expected shots from set pieces last season. Defenders Dan Burn and Sven Botman both scored headers in the 8-0 win over Sheffield last time out. This is one of Newcastle's key weapons, requiring Burnley to be very alert when it comes to set pieces.

Kompany’s side are not the best at defending dead balls, having conceded three goals from such situations this season, not to mention Jonny Evans’ disallowed goal in the defeat to Man Utd. So the 50-1 odds on Burn or Botman opening the scoring are attractive, and I believe Newcastle will capitalise on their advantage and win 3-1.

Wolves - Man City: 9pm Saturday, September 30. It's always difficult to predict how Man City will play. I think it's easier to bet on Erling Haaland, especially with the striker's headers. Of Haaland's 36 goals last season, seven were headers. He's an aerial threat to opponents, which is no surprise for a 1m94 player who is fed the ball by some of the world's best passers.

Man City no longer prefer to play a cautious possession-based game with passes, preferring to combine it with risky passes into the box. This makes Haaland’s ability to score a header more appealing, especially since the bookmakers have not reduced the odds.

Haaland headed home in the 2-1 win over Sheffield United in the third round of the Premier League. Photo: Reuters

Haaland has scored two headed goals this season. He was 6-1 against Nottingham Forest and 7-2 against Sheffield United. So Haaland is 9-2 on heading this time around. I also think Wolves will not be able to trouble the champions and Man City will leave Molineux with a 3-0 win.

Fulham v Chelsea: 2am Tuesday, 3/10 . I often look at the numbers to assess matches, so this one is a dilemma for me. All the stats say I'm backing Chelsea to win at Craven Cottage, but the bookies say otherwise.

Fulham are not a team that blows their stats out of the water. The quality of their defence is reflected in their expected goals conceded, averaging 1.79 per game. This is a figure that is common among teams in the relegation zone and shows no signs of improving. Last season, Southampton were relegated from the Premier League with an expected goals conceded of 1.63 per 90 minutes.

However, one notable statistic is that Marco Silva's side have conceded 3.5 fewer goals than expected this season, the highest figure in the Premier League and a sign that Fulham can defy the odds.

As for Chelsea, it can be said that they are very unlucky to have had the worst start in the Premier League after the first six rounds, if based on the number of goals scored and goals conceded. They are sixth in expected goals scored and third in expected goals conceded. Mauricio Pochettino's team has created more chances than their opponents in all six matches. I think this is the most difficult match to predict this round, but I still believe Chelsea will win with a result of 2-0.

Vinh San (according to Sky Sports )

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