Continuously withdrawing billions of USD, foreign ownership ratio falls to lowest level since 2015

Statistics from 2023 to present, the net selling value of foreign investors in the Vietnamese stock market has reached nearly 128,400 billion VND, about 5 billion USD.

Continuously withdrawing billions of USD, foreign ownership ratio falls to lowest level since 2015

Statistics from 2023 to present, the net selling value of foreign investors in the Vietnamese stock market has reached nearly 128,400 billion VND, about 5 billion USD.

ETFs maintained a net withdrawal status in the first month of 2025, with a total value of VND616 billion. This is the 15th consecutive month that ETFs have withdrawn net from Vietnam.

Capital withdrawal pressure mainly comes from foreign ETFs, notably VanEck (-423 billion VND), Xtrackers FTSE Vietnam (-88 billion VND), Fubon (-58 billion VND).

Domestic funds are differentiated with DCVFM (-122 billion VND) being net withdrawn for 3 consecutive months, while DCVFM VNDiamond (+54 billion VND) and MAFM VN30 (+56 billion VND) continue to record positive net buying flows.

Regarding active cash flow, investment funds all recorded net withdrawals in January, of which active funds investing only in Vietnam withdrew a strong net of VND804 billion.

Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HoSE) has issued HOSE Index Rules version 4.0 to replace version 3.1. This decision takes effect from March 2025. Some of the main changes are as follows: (1) Increasing the trading volume and & value of matched orders to increase the liquidity of stocks selected for the basket. (2) Adding financial criteria on non-negative after-tax profit to improve the quality of the screened stocks. (3) Adding a limit on the capitalization ratio of stocks in the same industry in the VN30 index basket at 40%, contributing to stabilizing the industry structure and limiting the proportion of one industry in the index basket being too large.

Statistics from 2023 to present, the net selling value of foreign investors in the Vietnamese market has reached nearly 128,400 billion VND. Exchange rate is one of the factors that significantly affects foreign capital flows into markets such as Vietnam. The devaluation of VND against USD affects the performance of foreign funds, limiting the ability to attract capital.

At the same time, there is a lack of attractive long-term investment opportunities due to a lack of new, quality products. The number of newly listed enterprises is very small, and large-scale enterprises are even rarer.

According to SSI Research, in 2025, capital flows from investment funds into the Vietnamese market will still be affected by many conflicting factors. Capital flows will be limited by expectations of a slow rate cut by the Fed and exchange rate pressure, unpredictable policies under President Trump's term or potential economic recession, or the limited number of stocks in industries that attract cash flows such as technology.

On the positive side, foreign ownership in the Vietnamese market has fallen to its lowest level since 2015, which could limit net outflows.

SSI Research expects foreign investors to return to the Vietnamese market in 2025 due to the FTSE Russell's emerging market upgrade. Stepping stones such as the implementation of the KRX trading system, the application of the amended Securities Law and the amended Decree 155/2020 will create a premise for the development of the capital market in the medium and long term.

Source: https://baodautu.vn/lien-tiep-rut-rong-hang-ty-usd-ty-le-so-huu-khoi-ngoai-ve-muc-thap-nhat-tu-nam-2015-d245353.html