More than 1.3 billion people will have diabetes by 2050

Hơn 1,3 tỉ người trưởng thành sẽ mắc bệnh tiểu đường vào năm 2050 - Ảnh 1. — Home diabetes testing device

New estimates predict the number of people with diabetes will rise from 529 million in 2021 to more than 1.3 billion by 2050, with no country expected to see a reduction in the prevalence of the disease over the next 30 years, according to the forecasts in The Lancet and The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology journals.

Experts call the data alarming, with diabetes now outpacing most other diseases globally and posing a significant threat to people and countries' health systems.

"Diabetes continues to be one of the greatest public health threats of our time and is expected to increase dramatically over the next three decades in every country, age group, and gender," The Guardian quoted Dr. Shivani Agarwal of the Montefiore Health System and Albert Einstein College of Medicine in New York State (USA).

In another report, the United Nations predicts that the world's population will reach 9.8 billion by 2050. That means one in seven or eight people will be living with diabetes by then.

Type 2 diabetes, which accounts for the largest proportion of cases, is largely preventable and in some cases reversible with early detection and intervention, the authors of the diabetes report said. However, all the evidence suggests that diabetes cases continue to rise globally, driven largely by the rise in obesity, which is driven by a variety of factors.

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In addition, racial discrimination against minorities and geographic inequality are driving diabetes rates, illness and death around the world. For example, people from marginalized communities have less access to medications like insulin, and are less likely to have good blood sugar control.

The Covid-19 pandemic has dramatically increased global diabetes inequalities. People with diabetes are more likely to become severely ill with Covid-19 and are more likely to die from the disease than those without diabetes.

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