US Election 2024 and developments in the final stretch before "G hour"

VTV.vn - Nearly 3 weeks before the US Presidential election (November 5), the two candidates, President Donald Trump and incumbent Vice President Kamala Harris, are keeping a close distance.

Early voting draws US voters US voters are increasingly focused on the election. A survey of early voters shows that Americans are eager to vote this year even before Election Day, while partisan divisions remain deep. 47% of respondents in a new NBC News poll said they plan to vote early, bringing the total to 52% of Americans who vote before Election Day on November 5. In Georgia, one of seven battleground states that will determine the outcome of the November 5 election, a record number of more than 300,000 people voted early on October 15. That's more than double the number on early voting day in 2020, even as Georgia struggles with the aftermath of Hurricane Helene. North Carolina also began early in-person voting on October 17 (local time). Previously, early in-person voting was conducted in Virginia, Minnesota and South Dakota since September 20. US voter polls remain tight Voters are eager to vote in this year's race for the White House. Many Americans really feel that even one of their votes can make an impact. Polls so far show that this year's US presidential election is getting closer. The results of dozens of recent national polls show that Kamala Harris is leading Donald Trump by less than 2 percentage points (1.7%). Thus, despite her advantage, the positive effects that Harris' campaign has had since the debate in September have gradually faded and this trend seems to continue.

(Photo: AP)

Polls in seven battleground states also show the two candidates in a tight race. Trump is leading in Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia, while Harris is ahead in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan and Nevada. Celebrities rally behind US presidential candidates The 2024 US presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not just a contest between two ideologies about what should happen in America, but also a race aimed at two groups of voters with completely different views on what is happening. The diametrically opposed campaign rhetoric suggests that this election is likely to be decided by a narrow margin. So any push, no matter how small or insignificant, could help tip the balance, such as when some celebrities publicly endorse candidates. Celebrity endorsements are especially appealing to young voters. And according to surveys, young voters in the US tend to support the Democratic Party. So this has the potential to become one of the most influential endorsements in the US. However, when celebrities publicly endorse a political figure, there is no guarantee that their supporters will make the same decision. Experts call this an "emotional tool", but when the momentary emotion passes, voters will think more carefully and act more rationally than emotionally. "October surprise" With less than 3 weeks to go until the 2024 US presidential election, the term "October surprise" is attracting a lot of attention. "October surprise" is a political term referring to events that occur in the month before the election, which can change the course and outcome of the race. In recent days, the US has suffered from 2 superstorms Helene and Milton. Not only did the storm cause huge damage to the people, it also changed the campaign schedule of the candidates. Candidates also had to adjust their tactics to adapt to the situation. While Mr. Trump criticized the current administration for not effectively dealing with emergencies, Ms. Harris said this was both a challenge and an opportunity to show the ability to face the crisis.

(Photo: AP)

The risk of war breaking out abroad is also worth noting. There are concerns about tensions in the Middle East. US-backed Israel is facing forces in the Iranian resistance axis, including Hamas in the Gaza Strip, Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen. There is also the risk of all-out war between Iran and Israel. It is not yet clear how the escalating conflict in the Middle East will affect the US election, but experts say the issue could cause a simmering division within the Democratic Party and in US politics. The impact of the US presidential election on the world The 2024 US presidential election is expected to have a major impact on the world scene. Foreign policy experts predict that this election will be a contest between a candidate who supports multilateralism and a candidate who opposes multilateralism. For Southeast Asia and the Indo-Pacific region as a whole, the Trump administration could signal a return to “America First” policies, potentially introducing more protectionist trade measures. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris’s victory could reaffirm the US commitment to multilateralism, with an emphasis on trade cooperation, economic development and climate change. So as the US enters the final weeks of the election campaign, global markets are closely watching for potential changes that could impact global trade, investment and geopolitical stability. Southeast Asia, in particular, one of the fastest-growing regions globally, is highly sensitive to changes in US economic and foreign policy. Given the current trade relationship with the US and US direct investments, the outcome of the US presidential election – whether it results in a Democratic President Kamala Harris or the return of Republican President Donald Trump – will have far-reaching implications for Southeast Asian economies.

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