In July, there is a possibility of 1-2 storms and tropical depressions affecting mainland Vietnam.
The average temperature across the country is generally 0.5-1 degree Celsius higher, and in some places higher than the average for the same period in many years. The heat wave in the Northern region is likely to last until around July 2, then decrease and tend to increase again in the last 20 days of July. The Central region continues to experience many hot days.
Deputy Head of Climate Forecast Department, National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting Tran Thi Chuc said that in July 2024, there is a possibility of 1-2 storms and tropical depressions appearing and may affect the mainland of our country.
Regarding the rain situation, Ms. Tran Thi Chuc said that the total rainfall is generally at a level similar to the average of many years in the same period. The Northern, North Central, Central Highlands and Southern regions will have many days of showers and thunderstorms; in which, the Northern, Central Highlands and Southern regions are likely to have some widespread moderate and heavy rains lasting about 2-4 days. Throughout the country, continue to be on guard against thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning and hail.
In the face of the above dangerous weather phenomena, Ms. Tran Thi Chuc warned that storms, tropical depressions, and the Southwest monsoon are likely to cause strong winds and large waves that could affect activities in the East Sea. Severe thunderstorms accompanied by tornadoes, lightning, hail, and strong gusts of wind could greatly affect production and people's livelihoods.
In the Central and South Central regions, this period continues to experience a lot of heat; rain only appears locally, leading to drought, water shortages and a very high risk of fire and explosion.
To proactively respond, people need to regularly monitor forecast and warning information on the website of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting at nchmf.gov.vn, provincial, municipal and regional hydro-meteorological stations; regularly update the latest hydro-meteorological forecast information on the official mass media of the Central and local levels to proactively respond.
The government and relevant agencies need to promptly provide disaster forecast information to the people, mobilize, propagate and implement an absolute ban on people's activities in areas at high risk of thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning, hail, strong winds, big waves, etc. People need to strictly follow the instructions on disaster response and prevention from local authorities.
La Nina appears from July, hot weather, storm season will be very complicated
Mr. Hoang Phuc Lam - Deputy Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that currently, the ENSO phenomenon is in a neutral phase. It is forecasted that from July to September 2024, ENSO is likely to transition to La Nina state with a probability of 65-75%. From now until September 2024, there is a possibility of about 5-7 storms/tropical depressions appearing in the East Sea; of which 2-3 will make landfall (the average number of storms/tropical depressions in the East Sea during this period is 6-7, the average number of storms/tropical depressions making landfall in Vietnam is about 3). Be on guard against the possibility of storms/tropical depressions forming right in the East Sea area.

From July to September, dangerous weather phenomena such as thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning and strong gusts of wind continue to occur nationwide.
From July to September, dangerous weather phenomena such as thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning and strong gusts of wind continue to occur nationwide. In the Northern region, heat waves will continue until August and will mainly occur in July. In the Central region, heat waves will continue until September, mainly occurring in July and August. Heat waves and severe heat waves are likely to occur more frequently than the average of many years during the same period. Drought in the Central region is likely to last until August 2024.
The rainy season in the Central region is likely to occur at a similar time to the average of many years (around the end of August and the first half of September). In the Central Highlands and the South, the southwest monsoon tends to be stronger than average.
Storms, tropical depressions and the southwest monsoon are likely to cause strong winds and large waves that affect activities in the East Sea. Heat waves will affect daily life and production activities (especially in the second half of June and July 2024 in the North and Central regions, the heat wave may be more severe). In addition, heavy rain, thunderstorms, tornadoes and lightning are likely to negatively affect production activities and community life in affected areas.
Looking further from October to December, Dr. Hoang Phuc Lam said that during this period, the ENSO phenomenon is forecast to continue to be in La Nina state with a probability of about 80-90%.
There is a possibility of about 04-06 storms/tropical depressions appearing in the East Sea, of which about 2-3 will make landfall (the average number of storms/tropical depressions in the East Sea during this period is 4-5, the average number of storms/tropical depressions making landfall in Vietnam over the years is about 2). Be on guard against the possibility of storms/tropical depressions forming right in the East Sea area.
Cold air begins to strengthen from around October. Tropical storms/depressions and the Northeast monsoon are likely to cause strong winds and large waves that affect activities in the East Sea. In addition, heavy rain, whirlwinds, and lightning can negatively affect production activities and public health.
Source: https://danviet.vn/hot-xuat-hien-1-2-con-bao-ap-thap-nhiet-doi-anh-huong-den-dat-lien-viet-nam-trong-thang-7-20240701154727352.htm
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