Mr. Trump was elected president, what is the scenario for conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine?

Donald Trump is likely to become the next president of the United States. Now, observers are paying attention to his statements on foreign affairs during the election campaign.

During his election campaigns, Mr. Trump repeatedly mentioned his stance and commitments regarding the US's role in current world turmoil, including conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.

Stance towards Ukraine

During many campaign rallies, he declared that if he won the election, he could end the war in Ukraine "within 24 hours" before even officially taking office.

Mr. Donald Trump speaks in Florida on November 6.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was among the first leaders to congratulate Mr Trump. Writing on social network X, Mr Zelensky stressed: "I appreciate Mr Trump's commitment to the 'peace through strength' approach to global affairs. This is exactly the principle that can practically bring a just peace in Ukraine closer."

Last year, Mr. Trump asserted that if he were president, Russia would not have launched the war in Ukraine, adding that he could end the conflict in 24 hours, though he did not elaborate on how he would do so. He also criticized the aid that the Biden administration has delivered to Ukraine, which, according to the State Department, has so far amounted to more than $64 billion in military aid alone.

What challenges does Ukraine expect after the US election?

Al Jazeera on November 6 quoted Leslie Vinjamuri, director of the US and Americas program at the Chatham House Institute in London, as saying that Mr. Trump's commitments could include reaching an agreement with Russia that would affect Ukraine's territorial rights. Reuters last year also quoted Mr. Trump as saying that Ukraine might have to make territorial concessions if it wanted to reach an agreement with Russia, something Kyiv firmly opposed.

On the Russian side, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Moscow will monitor the situation and evaluate Mr. Trump's first statements and moves upon becoming president on issues related to Russia, according to TASS on November 6. Mr. Peskov emphasized that incumbent US President Joe Biden will continue to carry out his duties until he officially transfers the position to his successor.

In addition, Mr. Trump's relationship with members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) during his first term also had conflicts, when the former US president said that NATO countries had not met their military spending targets and that Washington was having to spend more money. He also warned that the US would not protect countries that were behind on their contributions. "NATO will face the most serious existential threat since its founding," said Mr. Brett Bruen, former foreign policy advisor in the administration of former President Barack Obama.

What will happen to the Middle East?

Mr Trump is also expected to face a more unstable Middle East. Israel is waging wars in Gaza and Lebanon, as well as confronting Iran. Mr Trump has expressed support for Israel’s fight against Hamas, but is said to have asked Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to get the job done quickly.

Netanyahu has already congratulated Trump on his election victory. Meanwhile, senior Hamas official Sami Abu Zuhri said Trump would be tested for his claim that he could end the war within hours as US president. "We call on Trump to learn from the mistakes of (US President Joe) Biden," Abu Zuhri told Reuters.

Trump wants Gaza conflict to end before inauguration

Former President Trump is expected to continue supplying weapons to Israel. His policy toward Israel is likely to have no strings attached to humanitarian concerns and Trump is likely to give Netanyahu more freedom to choose when it comes to Iran, which Trump has taken a hard line on, according to Reuters.

But Mr Trump could face a new crisis if Iran, which has stepped up its nuclear programme since he abandoned the nuclear deal with Tehran in 2018, rushes to develop new weapons.

The last time Mr Trump was in the White House, he presided over the signing of the Abraham Accords between Israel, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain. But those diplomatic agreements did not help advance the creation of a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza Strip.

Palestinian President Mahmud Abbas has congratulated Donald Trump on his presidential election victory, expressing confidence that Trump will support the Palestinian people's "legitimate aspirations" for statehood.

Mr. Trump, however, is likely to push for the historic normalization of relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia, an effort initiated during his first term and also pursued by President Biden.

Source: https://thanhnien.vn/ong-trump-dac-cu-tong-thong-kich-ban-nao-cho-xung-dot-o-trung-dong-ukraine-185241106192513266.htm