The US presidential election takes place on November 5th, but that doesn't mean the final results will be announced on that day. After each election, more and more Americans vote by mail. This makes counting ballots much more time-consuming than in-person voting because they need to be opened and verified. This means that finding a winner on election night may be a thing of the past.
In 2020, the election took place on November 3rd, but it wasn't until November 7th that media outlets predicted the winner of the presidential race.
US Elections: Why might the results not be announced on the same day?
This year, the timing of the outcome will depend on two factors, according to Fivethirtyeight: the closeness in support and the speed of vote counting in each state. While the first factor is difficult to predict, the speed of vote counting in each state is predictable.
However, some states counted votes quickly because they had laws requiring this process to be expedited. Meanwhile, other states counted votes slowly because they did not have such laws and had a large number of mail-in ballots.
Workers process mail-in ballots in California on October 29.
Furthermore, human error or technical glitches can cause delays in announcing the results. In fast-track polling stations, it can take several days, even weeks, to name a winner if the election results are very close.
For example, in Arizona, where 90% of votes were cast by mail in 2020, counting was only permitted after polling stations closed.
Provisional ballots (used when there is doubt about a voter's eligibility) and absentee ballots from overseas voters can make a difference when the gap between the two candidates is very small.
Additionally, candidates can request a recount, which can prolong the time it takes to announce the results.
Voters cast their ballots in Detroit, Michigan on November 3rd.
The results are 'illusory'.
Voting on Election Day will take place on the morning of November 5th (local time), which is the evening of the same day in Vietnam. Most polling stations will close between 7 PM and 11 PM on November 5th Eastern Standard Time (EST), which is 9 AM to 11 AM on November 6th in Vietnam.
Results are expected to be released gradually after local polling stations close. Because the United States spans multiple time zones, some West Coast states may still be voting while East Coast results begin to be announced.
US Elections: Who are the Electoral College members who decide who chooses the president?
According to The New York Times , the large number of mail-in voters and the differences in vote counting times across states can create a phenomenon called a "mirage" in the results. This means that the initial vote count might show a candidate with a temporary advantage, but this doesn't reflect the final outcome. Democratic supporters are believed to be particularly inclined to vote by mail.
In Michigan in 2020, initial vote counts created a "red mirage," showing Donald Trump leading until mail-in ballots were counted and Joe Biden emerged victorious.
Source: https://thanhnien.vn/khi-nao-co-ket-qua-bau-cu-tong-thong-my-185241104170030048.htm






Comment (0)