Mbappe (right) faces Real Madrid's solid defense - Photo: REUTERS
European bookmakers are offering Real Madrid 6/1 odds to reach the semi-finals, while Arsenal are 1/7 odds to reach the semi-finals. This clearly reflects the chances of both teams advancing.
Another parameter to estimate Real Madrid's very small chance is data from Opta. This statistics company believes that Arsenal has a 91.1% chance of reaching the semi-finals, while Real Madrid has only an 8.9% chance.
But Real Madrid are used to beating unbelievable numbers. Fans will surely still remember the moment in the 89th minute of the second leg of the 2022 Champions League semi-final.
That was when Man City led 5-3 on aggregate (winning 4-3 in the first leg), the computer determined that Real Madrid only had a 1% chance of a comeback, as the match was about to enter extra time.
But two quick-fire goals from Rodrygo helped the Spanish Royal team equalize the score, before Benzema finished off the opponent in extra time.
Also in that season, Man City had 2 impressive comebacks against Chelsea (quarter-finals) and PSG (round of 16). And last season, it only took them 3 minutes to come back against Bayern Munich.
These are examples that show Real Madrid's "Champions League DNA". The greatest club in the history of world football is always ready for the unthinkable.
Bookmakers give Real Madrid a handicap of 0.75 goals for the whole match and 0.25 goals for the first half. The over/under ratio for the whole match is 3 goals, and for the first half it is 1.25 goals.
This is still a comfortable ratio for Real Madrid, because they received a lot of good news about their squad in this match. Camavinga is suspended, but Tchouameni is back, and Real Madrid's attack is still very strong, not missing any stars.
Arsenal still suffers serious personnel losses as Magalhaes, Calafiori, Havertz, Jesus are definitely absent, while White and Partey are also uncertain about their ability to play.
Arsenal shut down Real Madrid's attack in the first leg, but the electric atmosphere at the Bernabeu could change things.
Expected lineup:
Real Madrid: Courtois; Valverde, Asencio, Rudiger, Alaba; Tchouameni, Modric; Rodrygo, Bellingham, Vinicius Jr; Mbappe
Arsenal: Raya; Timber, Saliba, Kiwior, Lewis-Skelly; Odegaard, Partey, Rice; Saka, Merino, Martinelli
Prediction: Real Madrid win 1-0 at half-time, win 4-1 in 90 minutes, and advance on penalties.
Source: https://tuoitre.vn/du-doan-ti-so-real-madrid-se-lai-khien-lang-bong-da-choang-vang-20250415175457002.htm
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