Not disappointing fans' expectations, EURO 2024 is bringing eye-catching matches. Portugal, Türkiye and Georgia are the last teams to advance to the round of 16. Before that, big names like Germany, Spain, England and France were present. In addition, surprises also came when Romania topped Group E, Austria confidently overcame France and the Netherlands to top Group D and Slovenia with talented players Benjamin Sesko and Jan Oblak made history, entering the EURO play-off round for the first time. The goal of the teams now has only one - to participate in the final match on July 15 at the Berlin Olympics.
Entering the play-off round, with the knockout format, teams now have to calculate a lot. Any mistake will cost them a "plane ticket" home. Opta 's supercomputer predicts that the Spanish team will have the highest chance of reaching the quarter-finals with a rate of up to 82.13%. This comes from the fact that "La Roja" only has to meet Georgia in the round of 16. Throughout the history of EURO, this is the first time Georgia has participated. The surprise came in the final round when Kvaratskhelia shone, helping this small team make history in its first participation.
The next team with the most chances of reaching the quarter-finals according to Opta is England with 81.63%. The "Three Lions" struggled to get to the top of Group D and only have to face Slovakia.
Spain is the most highly rated team in the round of 16.
Ronaldo's Portugal team is ranked third with a 74.51% chance of reaching the quarterfinals. However, the supercomputer predicts that the European "Selecao" will most likely stop in the quarterfinals when Ronaldo and his teammates only have a 35.8% chance of making it. The reason the Portuguese team is rated so low is because they are likely to meet the French team in the quarterfinals.
Meanwhile, host Germany will face a tough opponent, Denmark, but is predicted to have a winning rate of up to 69.48%. The "Tanks" also have a 40.5% chance of advancing to the round of 4 strongest teams of EURO 2024.
The biggest surprise in Opta 's round of 16 prediction belongs to defending champions Italy. In the match against Switzerland, Italy only has a 56.96% chance of advancing, meaning the possibility of coach Spalletti and his team being defeated is up to 43.04%. According to Opta 's explanation, this prediction comes from the fact that Italy did not play well in the group stage and has a squad that is not as good as EURO 2024.
Ronaldo and his teammates are expected to have difficulty getting past the quarter-finals.
Difficulties await the reigning Italian champions
Based on the bracket announced by the European Football Federation, Opta continues to predict the results of the quarter-finals, semi-finals and final of EURO 2024. England is once again named with a 38.10% chance of reaching the final. This is a very high rate, surpassing the remaining opponents.
Opta explains: "Although the Three Lions have had some sleepless performances, they are still the brightest candidate for the EURO 2024 championship. The billion-pound squad, impressive form and without having to go all out, they can easily top Group C.
After the group stage, the supercomputer ran 10,000 simulations and still picked Gareth Southgate's side as champions with a 20% chance. That's 0.1% better than their pre-tournament chance of 19.9%. Another big reason England are so highly rated is because they're considered the "easier" team in the knockout stages.
England have not played well but are still considered the number 1 candidate for the championship. Their winning rate is even higher than before EURO 2024 started.
Prediction results of the supercomputer website Opta
England's opponents in the final match are predicted to be Spain. The "Bulls" are predicted to have a 27.14% chance of reaching the final. If this happens, this will be the EURO final after 12 years of waiting for the Spanish team.
Source: https://thanhnien.vn/sieu-may-tinh-du-doan-vong-play-off-euro-2024-bat-ngo-doi-tuyen-anh-bo-dao-nha-185240628170313592.htm
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